Top Picks — Last 10 Days
How our #1 rated pick in every race has done, day by day. This is our ratings' raw accuracy across all races — the Nap is our single most confident pick each day.
Last 10 days combined
Day by day
| Date | Races | Winners | Placed | Strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 23 Aug | 20 | 5 | 9 | 25% |
| Sat 22 Aug | 56 | 23 | 38 | 41% |
| Fri 21 Aug | 47 | 20 | 34 | 43% |
| Thu 20 Aug | 44 | 19 | 29 | 43% |
| Wed 19 Aug | 36 | 12 | 23 | 33% |
| Tue 18 Aug | 27 | 8 | 17 | 30% |
| Mon 17 Aug | 25 | 12 | 18 | 48% |
| Sun 16 Aug | 31 | 13 | 21 | 42% |
| Sat 15 Aug | 61 | 22 | 35 | 36% |
| Fri 14 Aug | 43 | 14 | 25 | 33% |
Frequently asked questions
What's the difference between the Nap and your top picks?
The top picks are my number-one rated horse in every single race. The Nap is just one of them each day — the single clearest standout, taken at a value price. Backing every top pick isn't profitable; the selective Nap is where the edge lives.
Why isn't backing every top pick profitable?
Because many top-rated horses are short-priced favourites, and favourites as a group don't return a profit at Starting Price even though they win often. The edge comes from being selective about price, which is exactly what the Nap does.
What is a good strike rate for horse racing tips?
Backing favourites and top-rated picks, a win strike rate around 30–35% is normal. On its own that number means little without the odds — a high strike rate at short prices can still lose money — which is why I always show price and ROI alongside it.
How are strike rate and place rate calculated here?
Strike rate is winners divided by the number of picks that got a finishing position (non-runners are excluded). Place rate counts picks that finished within the each-way places for the size of the field.
How many races does this cover?
Every UK and Irish race on the day's cards — often 30 to 60 a day — each with a single top-rated pick, tracked over a rolling 10-day window.
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