Results & Tracked Record
Every bet we publish, settled at Starting Price — honestly. We only call something an edge where the data backs it.
I keep this page because a tip means nothing without a record behind it. Everything I publish is settled at the industry Starting Price at level stakes, winners and losers alike — no cherry-picking. Below is how each bet type has actually performed; the headline is the Nap, the one selection I found a genuine, out-of-sample edge on. Read the full method →
🎯 Our edge — the Nap
The one selection our data shows a genuine, out-of-sample edge on. Full Nap results →
📈 Our second edge — Place Value
Top-rated horses drifting to a value price, backed to place — a smaller edge than the Nap, positive in and out of sample, now tracked live to confirm it holds. Full Place Value →
Everything else — tracked honestly, for interest
These land often and are fun to follow, but they're not proven money-makers. We publish their real numbers anyway.
🎲 Daily Double
Fun win double — both must win. Lands often, roughly break-even.
🎲 Daily Trixie
Three picks in a Trixie — cashes on any 2 of 3.
🎯 Accumulator
A four-fold — all must win. Lands rarely, pays big: high variance.
🍀 Lucky 15
Fifteen bets on four picks. Its singles mean one winner returns something — but usually less than the £15 stake, so most “returns” are still a loss.
💎 Value Picks
Our other fancied runners. For interest — not profitable.
Frequently asked questions
How do you calculate ROI?
ROI (return on investment) is profit divided by total stake, at level one-point stakes. So +19% ROI means that for every £100 staked evenly across the picks, £19 came back as profit.
What is Starting Price (SP)?
The SP is the official industry price returned on a horse at the off — the price a high-street betting shop settles at. I use it so the record reflects a price anyone could realistically have taken, not a fleeting best price.
Why settle at SP rather than the best available odds?
Best-odds records flatter themselves, because nobody actually gets the top price on every horse. SP is the honest, conservative benchmark — if the numbers stack up at SP, they would only look better taking early prices in practice.
Which of your tips actually makes a profit?
Only the Nap shows a genuine, out-of-sample edge. The Daily Double, Trixie, value picks and Lucky 15 are tracked for interest and are not sold as profit-makers — the numbers for each are published anyway.
Do you include losing bets in the record?
Yes — every published selection is settled and logged, win or lose. A tipping record that quietly drops its losers isn't worth the pixels; the whole point of this site is that it doesn't.
How often is the record updated?
It is re-settled automatically every night after racing, so new results roll into the totals as soon as races are officially called.
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